Tendances
Evolution moyenne par candidat entre les 21 derniers jours et les 21 jours precedents. La durée de cette fenêtre sera réduire à l'approche du scrutin.
Intervalles
Ce graphique présente la plage des intentions de vote pour chaque candidat, basée sur les sondages réalisés au cours des 365 derniers jours. La barre représente l'intervalle entre les intentions de vote les plus basses et les plus hautes enregistrées pour chaque candidat.
Hypothèses les plus testées
Les sections sont organisées par hypothèse (c'est-à-dire par combinaison de candidats), en partant du sondage le plus récent.
| Sondeur | Date | Arthaud | Mélenchon | Roussel | Tondelier | Glucksmann | Philippe | Retailleau | Villepin | Dupont | Bardella | Zemmour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elabe | 27 mars | 0.5% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 35.0% | 3.0% |
| Ifop | 27 févr. | 1.0% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 36.0% | 4.0% |
| Elabe | 31 oct. 25 | 1.0% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 35.0% | 4.5% |
| Sondeur | Date | Arthaud | Mélenchon | Roussel | Tondelier | Glucksmann | Philippe | Retailleau | Dupont | Bardella | Zemmour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris | 22 mars | 1.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 35.0% | 5.0% |
| Odoxa | 20 nov. 25 | 1.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 35.0% | 3.5% |
| Harris | 7 oct. 25 | 1.0% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 1.0% | 35.0% | 6.0% |
| Sondeur | Date | Arthaud | Mélenchon | Roussel | Tondelier | Glucksmann | Attal | Retailleau | Dupont | Bardella | Zemmour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris | 22 mars | 1.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 36.0% | 5.0% |
| Odoxa | 20 nov. 25 | 1.0% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 3.0% |
| Harris | 7 oct. 25 | 1.0% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 1.0% | 35.0% | 6.0% |
| Sondeur | Date | Arthaud | Poutou | Mélenchon | Roussel | Tondelier | Glucksmann | Philippe | Dupont | Le Pen | Zemmour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elabe | 4 avr. 25 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 10.5% | 24.0% | 3.0% | 33.5% | 3.5% |
| Ifop | 26 mars 25 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 13.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 11.0% | 20.0% | 3.0% | 35.0% | 6.0% |
| Harris | 8 juil. 24 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 2.0% | 31.0% | 3.0% |
| Sondeur | Date | Arthaud | Poutou | Mélenchon | Roussel | Tondelier | Faure | Philippe | Dupont | Bardella | Zemmour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris | 31 mars 25 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 25.0% | 2.0% | 36.0% | 5.0% |
| Ifop | 9 déc. 24 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 26.0% | 3.5% | 34.0% | 3.0% |
| Ifop | 18 avr. 24 | 1.5% | 0.5% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 26.0% | 2.0% | 33.0% | 7.0% |
| Ifop | 10 janv. 24 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 26.0% | 2.5% | 27.0% | 8.0% |
| Sondeur | Date | Arthaud | Poutou | Mélenchon | Roussel | Tondelier | Faure | Philippe | Dupont | Le Pen | Zemmour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 26 mars 25 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 25.0% | 4.0% | 36.0% | 5.0% |
| Ifop | 9 déc. 24 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 25.0% | 3.5% | 36.0% | 4.0% |
| Ifop | 9 sept. 24 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 27.0% | 2.0% | 34.0% | 3.5% |
| Harris | 8 juil. 24 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 17.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 24.0% | 2.0% | 32.0% | 4.0% |
| Ifop | 18 avr. 24 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 24.0% | 3.0% | 34.0% | 5.0% |
| Ifop | 18 avr. 24 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 24.0% | 2.0% | 33.0% | 6.0% |
| Ifop | 1 févr. 24 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 22.0% | 2.5% | 36.0% | 6.0% |
| Ifop | 10 janv. 24 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 25.0% | 2.0% | 33.0% | 6.5% |
| Ifop | 25 oct. 23 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 25.0% | 2.0% | 31.0% | 6.5% |
| Ifop | 31 mars 23 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 17.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 26.0% | 2.5% | 29.0% | 6.0% |
| Sondeur | Date | Arthaud | Poutou | Mélenchon | Roussel | Tondelier | Faure | Attal | Dupont | Le Pen | Zemmour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 26 mars 25 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 20.0% | 3.0% | 37.0% | 5.0% |
| Ifop | 9 déc. 24 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 20.0% | 3.0% | 38.0% | 4.0% |
| Ifop | 9 sept. 24 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 24.0% | 2.0% | 35.0% | 3.0% |
| Harris | 8 juil. 24 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 16.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 23.0% | 2.0% | 32.0% | 4.0% |
| Ifop | 18 avr. 24 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 20.0% | 2.0% | 35.0% | 6.0% |
| Ifop | 1 févr. 24 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 22.0% | 2.5% | 36.0% | 6.0% |
| Ifop | 10 janv. 24 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 23.0% | 2.0% | 32.0% | 6.5% |
| Ifop | 25 oct. 23 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 19.0% | 3.0% | 33.0% | 6.0% |
Seuil d'accès au second tour
Score moyen du 2ème candidat dans les sondages du premier tour, agrégé par mois.