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A live graph to see voters in real-time
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Adding previous markets dashboard, PolyMarket view
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LXVM: Stake with your wallet and participate in voting!
LXVM (Live eXpert Voting Mechanism)
Brief
Prediction markets are powerful forecasting tools, but they face a critical challenge: how do you resolve real-world outcomes in a trustless, decentralized way? Current solutions rely on centralized oracles or single arbitrators, creating points of failure and potential manipulation.
LXVM solves this in a simple manner. What if we could use collective expert wisdom to resolve prediction markets transparently? Instead of trusting a single source, we enable market creators to poll a network of experts, weigh their confidence, and visualize consensus in real-time—creating an evidence-based, crowd-sourced oracle.
What It Does
LXVM enables decentralized prediction market resolution through a simple workflow:
- Admin creates a market with a question and details
- Shareable link is generated using a unique token
- Voters connect via Metamask and submit:
- Their vote: "Yes" or "No"
- Confidence level: 0 (confidence that outcome is negative) to 1 (absolute certainty of outcome)
- Supporting evidence explaining their reasoning
- Real-time visualization: Admin sees an interconnected node graph and real-time statistics.
- Automatic resolution: Markets resolve when weighted consensus is overwhelmingly clear (≥0.9 or ≤0.1)
Use-Cases
Subjective markets suffer from a single point of failure. We solve this by voting and employing the staking mechanism for EigenLayer, so that voters are incentivized to vote correctly.
For smaller prediction markets (eg. will X happen to my friend this week?) a group of people can easily vote on the outcome of the prediction since a single all knowing oracle or API is not available. Polymarket currently employs such mechanisms for disputes, but LXVM serves as a de-facto standard for decentralized outcome resolution.
How We Built It
Tech Stack:
- Next.js 14 with TypeScript and Tailwind CSS
- RainbowKit + Wagmi for Metamask wallet connection
- Supabase for real-time database and live vote updates
- React Flow for the interconnected node graph visualization
- Vercel for deployment
- Polymarket-like prediction market setting
- TEEs, Attestation, Verifiability, and much more with EigenCloud deployed and verifiable on the Blockchain
Key Features:
- Unique shareable links via nanoid tokens (e.g.,
lxvm.app/vote/V1StGXR8_Z5j) - Supabase real-time subscriptions for instant admin dashboard updates
- One vote per wallet address (enforced at database level)
- Confidence-weighted consensus calculation\
- Secure and runs in a TEE, completely verifiable
What We Learned
- Supabase real-time subscriptions eliminated the need for custom backend infrastructure
- React Flow made building dynamic network graphs dramatically simpler than D3.js
- RainbowKit provides beautiful Web3 UX out of the box
- Confidence weighting is essential—simple vote counting doesn't capture expert certainty
- Next.js + Vercel deployment is seamless with dynamic routes working automatically
What's Next for LXVM
Short-Term:
- Evidence review UI for close votes
- Vote analytics and confidence distribution charts
- Market templates for common prediction types
Medium-Term:
- Store evidence on IPFS with on-chain hashes
- Smart contract integration for automatic resolution
- Reputation system tracking voter accuracy over time
Long-Term:
- DAO governance for platform parameters
- Voter staking with slashing for false evidence
- API integration with major prediction market platforms
- AI-powered evidence verification
LXVM is open-source and built for the decentralized future of prediction markets. We believe truth should be crowd-sourced, evidence-based, and transparent.
Built for trustless truth 🌐
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