Squiggle 2026

INFO

What Squiggles are • How to play through a season • Prediction • FAQ • The Model • Flagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

They visualize different game styles. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves.
They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year.
They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue).
They predict how the season will play out based on current likelihoods.

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it.
Click a team flag to remove every other team.

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move ⇡ up; when they score less, they move move ⇣ down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ⇢; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move ⇠ left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

↗ Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↘ Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↙ Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

↖ Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Scores, obviously.
Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots.
Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar.
Team Selections: teams are expected to perform better when they select more highly-rated players.
Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season.
Past Games: each new game is combined with past results.

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

Scoring Shots: where one team is much more accurate than the other. For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to Carlton 15.5 (95). Squiggle tipped a 29-point win, so normally the Tigers would slightly regress after winning by only 26 points. However, after factoring in the scoring shot disparity, Richmond's performance was rated more highly, and the Tigers moved positively on the chart.
Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. This was very similar to Squiggle's expectation of a 7-point Essendon win, so normally neither team would move much. However, Adelaide selected a much weaker team than their previous game (the 2017 Grand Final); without this, Squiggle would have tipped Adelaide by 9 points. As a result, Essendon received less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. The Crows also saw negative movement, since the result was worse than what would have been expected from them given their previous rating.

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to be fairly significant. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times.
Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. It may reward a team for having a good defence when in reality what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. This doesn't seem to happen often enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time.
Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. That is, it doesn't see much difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. It may thus underestimate a team that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Likewise, it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good teams but lacks the ability to close the games out.
Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The maths mean that if a team is expected to keep its opposition to 80 points, and it actually keeps them to 40, this is considered twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping them to 10 points is eight times as good. Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times better than a predicted 80 points in terms of Attack, a team would need to score 640 points (80 x 8), which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards.
The underlying model generates some inflation over the course of a season, which causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared to the start. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading into finals. However, it means that a team that doesn't actually change strength at all will be shown to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season.

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Margin: The greater the predicted margin, the more likely the tip is to be correct.
Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly.
Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly.

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Greater sensitivity in early rounds to better captures the sometimes substantial form changes that occur over an off-season.
Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from unusually high accuracy (i.e. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible.
Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm.

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

Generated: Sun Mar 22 06:24:49 2026 (R2)

Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.

At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Later, they flatten out, as the range of likely finishes shrinks.

Use the top player controls to watch changes throughout a season:

Some creative license is taken for the purposes of visual appeal, which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal.

* If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to provide a faster result.

FINALS CHANCES

		Minor Premier	Top 4	Top 8	Bottom 4	Spoon

MODE LADDER

			Likelihood	If not, then...

A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on the most likely exact finishing position for teams, rather than averaging a range of possibilities. For example, after Round 22, 2017 with one round to go, Richmond were highly likely to finish either 3rd or 6th. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't possibly finish there. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem.

A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, since until then there are too many possible final ladder combinations.

2026 ROUND 2 TIPS

Adelaide 90 - 91 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)
HGA: +13.5 pts
Ins/Outs: +5.4 pts

Fremantle 103 - 81 Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)
HGA: +12.6 pts
Ins/Outs: +2.9 pts

Greater Western Sydney 94 - 86 St Kilda
Sydney Showground (NSW)
HGA: +6.2 pts
Ins/Outs: +1.6 pts

Hawthorn 91 - 78 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +8.7 pts
Ins/Outs: +8.3 pts

Port Adelaide 91 - 76 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)
HGA: +11.3 pts
Ins/Outs: +2.0 pts

Richmond 77 - 99 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)
HGA: +10.9 pts
Ins/Outs: +1.9 pts

West Coast 90 - 91 North Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)
HGA: +11.5 pts
Ins/Outs: +4.6 pts

Algorithm: SQUIGGLE7
Tips after Round 1: 8

History...

In 2026, algorithm SQUIGGLE7 correctly tipped 12 games at an accuracy of 63.16%.

Draws are counted as correct tips. Historically, Squiggle employed the ISTATE-91:12 algorithm from 2013-2017, the SQUIGGLE2 algorithm for the first 12 rounds of 2018, and SQUIGGLE4 thereafter. To view historical tips from Squiggle (and other models) irrespective of the algorithm, see the Squiggle API or the models leaderboard.

Round 0

Brisbane Lions (106) lost to Western Bulldogs (111) at Gabba (QLD) [Western Bulldogs by 5) Brisbane Lions by 7
Gold Coast (125) defeated Geelong (69) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 56) Geelong by 4
Greater Western Sydney (122) defeated Hawthorn (95) at Sydney Showground (NSW) [Greater Western Sydney by 27) Hawthorn by 9
St Kilda (66) lost to Collingwood (78) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 12) Collingwood by 8
Sydney (132) defeated Carlton (69) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 63) Carlton by 0

Round 1

Carlton (75) defeated Richmond (71) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 4) Carlton by 21
Collingwood (79) lost to Adelaide (93) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Adelaide by 14) Collingwood by 6
Essendon (83) lost to Hawthorn (145) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 62) Hawthorn by 17
Geelong (110) defeated Fremantle (100) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 10) Geelong by 17
Gold Coast (131) defeated West Coast (72) at Carrara (QLD) [Gold Coast by 59) Gold Coast by 39
Melbourne (120) defeated St Kilda (107) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 13) St Kilda by 1
North Melbourne (113) defeated Port Adelaide (67) at Docklands (VIC) [North Melbourne by 46) North Melbourne by 0
Sydney (104) defeated Brisbane Lions (60) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 44) Sydney by 1
Western Bulldogs (134) defeated Greater Western Sydney (53) at Docklands (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 81) Western Bulldogs by 27

Round 2

Adelaide (88) lost to Western Bulldogs (94) at Adelaide Oval (SA) [Western Bulldogs by 6) Western Bulldogs by 0
Fremantle (118) defeated Melbourne (70) at Perth Stadium (WA) [Fremantle by 48) Fremantle by 21
Greater Western Sydney (74) lost to St Kilda (78) at Sydney Showground (NSW) [St Kilda by 4) Greater Western Sydney by 8
Hawthorn (99) defeated Sydney (82) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 17) Hawthorn by 14
Richmond (60) lost to Gold Coast (128) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Gold Coast by 68) Gold Coast by 23

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17

Round 18

Round 19

Round 20

Round 21

Round 22

Round 23

Round 24

Elimination Final

Semi-Final

Preliminary Final

Grand Final

SLIDING DOORS

On average, how much of a team's final score is due to luck?

SEASON PREDICTOR

Recalculate

		Wins	%
1	Western Bulldogs	17.5	142.1%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
2	Gold Coast	15.7	131.8%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
3	Hawthorn	15.1	126.1%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
4	Sydney	14.0	121.1%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
5	Adelaide	13.8	118.3%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
6	Brisbane Lions	13.2	116.9%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
7	Geelong	12.9	107.6%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
8	Fremantle	12.6	110.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
9	Collingwood	11.7	102.7%	1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
10	Greater Western Sydney	10.9	97.0%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
11	St Kilda	10.5	96.5%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
12	North Melbourne	10.2	91.8%	2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
13	Carlton	9.6	86.3%	3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
14	Port Adelaide	8.9	85.6%	4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
15	Melbourne	8.8	83.2%	5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
16	West Coast	7.9	79.3%	6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
17	Essendon	7.5	77.5%	6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
18	Richmond	6.3	71.8%	9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Home & Away...

How Prediction Works

This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. For details, click INFO → Prediction at the top of this page.

Round 2

Port Adelaide 91 - 76 Essendon
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.659036 - 0.340964RealScores: 90.848076 - 75.660019

West Coast 90 - 91 North Melbourne
Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 90.052571 - 90.063157

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	3 (3.00)	0	191.0
2	Western Bulldogs	3 (3.00)	0	137.2
3	Sydney	2 (2.00)	1	139.5
4	North Melbourne	2 (1.50)	0	129.3
5	Hawthorn	2 (2.00)	1	118.1
6	Fremantle	1 (1.00)	1	121.1
7	Adelaide	1 (1.00)	1	104.6
8	Collingwood	1 (1.00)	1	98.7
9	St Kilda	1 (1.00)	2	92.3
10	Melbourne	1 (1.00)	1	84.4
11	Port Adelaide	1 (0.62)	1	83.7
12	Greater Western Sydney	1 (1.00)	2	81.1
13	Geelong	1 (1.00)	1	79.6
14	Carlton	1 (1.00)	1	70.9
15	Brisbane Lions	0 (0.00)	2	77.2
16	West Coast	0 (0.50)	2	73.3
17	Essendon	0 (0.38)	2	67.3
18	Richmond	0 (0.00)	2	64.5

Round 3

Carlton Carlton 94 - 88 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.553931 - 0.446069RealScores: 93.511224 - 88.106606

Collingwood 85 - 76 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.593104 - 0.406896RealScores: 84.958965 - 75.882833

Essendon 81 - 91 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.406865 - 0.593135RealScores: 81.488481 - 90.567490

Fremantle 101 - 63 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.852999 - 0.147001RealScores: 101.080348 - 62.722608

Geelong Geelong 93 - 88 Adelaide
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.543589 - 0.456411RealScores: 92.772476 - 88.364463

Port Adelaide 90 - 75 West Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.659313 - 0.340687RealScores: 90.044882 - 74.830555

St Kilda 82 - 93 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.386819 - 0.613181RealScores: 82.299537 - 93.225274

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	3 (3.00)	0	191.0
2	Western Bulldogs	3 (3.00)	0	137.2
3	Sydney	2 (2.00)	1	139.5
4	Fremantle	2 (1.79)	1	131.5
5	North Melbourne	2 (2.07)	1	123.1
6	Hawthorn	2 (2.00)	1	118.1
7	Collingwood	2 (1.57)	1	103.0
8	Geelong	2 (1.53)	1	86.7
9	Carlton	2 (1.54)	1	81.6
10	Adelaide	1 (1.47)	2	101.4
11	Port Adelaide	1 (1.24)	2	94.1
12	St Kilda	1 (1.41)	3	91.3
13	Melbourne	1 (1.46)	2	87.3
14	Brisbane Lions	1 (0.59)	2	87.2
15	Greater Western Sydney	1 (1.43)	3	82.9
16	West Coast	1 (0.88)	2	76.1
17	Essendon	1 (0.81)	2	73.6
18	Richmond	0 (0.21)	3	63.7

Round 4

Adelaide 91 - 76 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.653502 - 0.346498RealScores: 91.016182 - 76.350407

Brisbane Lions 90 - 74 Collingwood
Gabba (QLD)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.670137 - 0.329863RealScores: 89.803703 - 73.557437

Hawthorn 105 - 89 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.672705 - 0.327295RealScores: 105.075131 - 88.581890

Melbourne 81 - 109 Gold Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.220532 - 0.779468RealScores: 80.709779 - 108.750492

North Melbourne 87 - 86 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 86.932852 - 86.922267

Richmond 76 - 79 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.46 wins - 0.54 winsRealProbs: 0.463356 - 0.536644RealScores: 75.674553 - 79.404361

West Coast 73 - 97 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.254288 - 0.745712RealScores: 73.256082 - 97.305858

Western Bulldogs 115 - 67 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.903890 - 0.096110RealScores: 114.623770 - 67.444869

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	4 (3.73)	0	174.9
2	Western Bulldogs	4 (3.85)	0	144.3
3	Sydney	3 (2.70)	1	137.9
4	Hawthorn	3 (2.64)	1	118.2
5	North Melbourne	3 (2.57)	1	116.9
6	Fremantle	2 (2.17)	2	118.5
7	Adelaide	2 (2.10)	2	105.3
8	Collingwood	2 (1.93)	2	97.2
9	Port Adelaide	2 (1.77)	2	96.5
10	Geelong	2 (1.89)	2	86.1
11	Carlton	2 (2.04)	2	85.8
12	Melbourne	2 (1.74)	2	84.0
13	Brisbane Lions	1 (1.22)	3	94.1
14	St Kilda	1 (1.41)	3	91.3
15	Greater Western Sydney	1 (1.43)	3	82.9
16	West Coast	1 (1.18)	3	75.9
17	Richmond	1 (0.68)	3	70.2
18	Essendon	1 (0.96)	3	69.7

Round 5

Adelaide 96 - 70 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.763547 - 0.236453RealScores: 95.807453 - 69.697989

Collingwood 79 - 82 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.476355 - 0.523645RealScores: 79.455038 - 81.893200

Essendon 86 - 93 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.433053 - 0.566947RealScores: 86.356061 - 92.995752

Geelong Geelong 110 - 78 West Coast
Norwood Oval (SA)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.804323 - 0.195677RealScores: 109.626606 - 78.374305

Greater Western Sydney 93 - 69 Richmond
Barossa Park (SA)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.749651 - 0.250349RealScores: 93.111758 - 68.615901

Hawthorn 89 - 96 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.428519 - 0.571481RealScores: 88.734944 - 95.800693

North Melbourne 79 - 102 Brisbane Lions
Barossa Park (SA)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.268094 - 0.731906RealScores: 79.399132 - 101.921958

Port Adelaide 83 - 84 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.489048 - 0.510952RealScores: 83.219391 - 84.364318

Sydney Sydney 80 - 87 Gold Coast
Norwood Oval (SA)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.424468 - 0.575532RealScores: 79.858052 - 87.302861

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	4 (4.29)	1	160.4
2	Western Bulldogs	4 (4.40)	1	136.3
3	Sydney	3 (3.14)	2	127.4
4	Fremantle	3 (2.68)	2	115.5
5	Hawthorn	3 (3.08)	2	113.0
6	Adelaide	3 (2.81)	2	110.8
7	North Melbourne	3 (2.88)	2	107.6
8	Geelong	3 (2.64)	2	94.6
9	Brisbane Lions	2 (1.91)	3	100.2
10	Collingwood	2 (2.42)	3	97.1
11	Port Adelaide	2 (2.27)	3	96.9
12	St Kilda	2 (1.91)	3	93.1
13	Greater Western Sydney	2 (2.13)	3	90.8
14	Melbourne	2 (2.29)	3	88.0
15	Carlton	2 (2.32)	3	83.2
16	West Coast	1 (1.42)	4	75.0
17	Essendon	1 (1.41)	4	73.8
18	Richmond	1 (0.98)	4	70.9

Round 6

Adelaide 95 - 73 St Kilda
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.724857 - 0.275143RealScores: 95.012800 - 73.249131

Carlton Carlton 74 - 84 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.399910 - 0.600090RealScores: 74.425380 - 84.146029

Geelong Geelong 89 - 106 Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.330592 - 0.669408RealScores: 89.444523 - 105.620827

Gold Coast 109 - 64 Essendon
Carrara (QLD)0.89 wins - 0.11 winsRealProbs: 0.889903 - 0.110097RealScores: 108.733341 - 64.137502

Hawthorn 108 - 69 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.855659 - 0.144341RealScores: 107.980874 - 69.199840

Melbourne 83 - 107 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.249591 - 0.750409RealScores: 82.819743 - 107.402073

North Melbourne 92 - 73 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.696954 - 0.303046RealScores: 92.088878 - 73.211962

Sydney Sydney 92 - 76 Greater Western Sydney
S.C.G. (NSW)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.663733 - 0.336267RealScores: 91.854310 - 76.220332

West Coast 73 - 100 Fremantle
Perth Stadium (WA)0.23 wins - 0.77 winsRealProbs: 0.225792 - 0.774208RealScores: 72.991727 - 100.384141

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	5 (5.13)	1	161.8
2	Western Bulldogs	5 (5.05)	1	133.0
3	Sydney	4 (3.77)	2	126.3
4	Hawthorn	4 (3.89)	2	118.5
5	North Melbourne	4 (3.54)	2	110.3
6	Fremantle	3 (3.41)	3	118.8
7	Adelaide	3 (3.50)	3	113.6
8	Brisbane Lions	3 (2.62)	3	104.7
9	Collingwood	3 (3.00)	3	99.6
10	Geelong	3 (3.00)	3	92.9
11	Melbourne	3 (2.58)	3	86.1
12	Carlton	3 (2.74)	3	84.0
13	St Kilda	2 (2.23)	4	90.3
14	Port Adelaide	2 (2.46)	4	90.3
15	Greater Western Sydney	2 (2.50)	4	89.5
16	West Coast	2 (1.69)	4	74.6
17	Essendon	2 (1.57)	4	71.3
18	Richmond	1 (1.32)	5	72.3

Round 7

Brisbane Lions 90 - 79 Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.604911 - 0.395089RealScores: 89.501790 - 79.337161

Essendon 69 - 89 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.288035 - 0.711965RealScores: 68.746428 - 89.154309

Fremantle 97 - 73 Carlton Carlton
Perth Stadium (WA)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.738522 - 0.261478RealScores: 96.594998 - 73.347350

Greater Western Sydney 95 - 82 North Melbourne
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.641379 - 0.358621RealScores: 95.296841 - 81.765396

Hawthorn 89 - 88 Gold Coast
York Park (TAS)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.501479 - 0.498521RealScores: 88.707824 - 88.551522

Port Adelaide 84 - 98 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.354785 - 0.645215RealScores: 84.351704 - 98.240847

Richmond 79 - 93 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.354114 - 0.645886RealScores: 79.055354 - 93.007091

St Kilda 99 - 73 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.764100 - 0.235900RealScores: 98.991914 - 72.816880

Western Bulldogs 98 - 76 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.721452 - 0.278548RealScores: 97.887797 - 76.486230

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	6 (5.63)	1	151.1
2	Western Bulldogs	6 (5.73)	1	132.3
3	Fremantle	4 (4.11)	3	120.5
4	Sydney	4 (4.09)	3	117.9
5	Hawthorn	4 (4.39)	3	116.0
6	Adelaide	4 (3.91)	3	109.7
7	North Melbourne	4 (3.92)	3	106.4
8	Collingwood	4 (3.68)	3	103.4
9	Geelong	4 (3.63)	3	95.8
10	Brisbane Lions	3 (3.21)	4	105.8
11	St Kilda	3 (2.95)	4	95.7
12	Greater Western Sydney	3 (3.12)	4	93.0
13	Melbourne	3 (3.21)	4	89.7
14	Port Adelaide	3 (2.84)	4	89.6
15	Carlton	3 (3.04)	4	82.8
16	West Coast	2 (1.97)	5	74.5
17	Richmond	2 (1.69)	5	74.1
18	Essendon	2 (1.89)	5	72.0

Round 8

Adelaide 95 - 70 Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.753458 - 0.246542RealScores: 94.609647 - 69.677982

Carlton Carlton 82 - 88 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.442782 - 0.557218RealScores: 81.854275 - 87.572663

Collingwood 76 - 92 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.331517 - 0.668483RealScores: 75.912336 - 91.999912

Essendon 72 - 101 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.21 wins - 0.79 winsRealProbs: 0.213899 - 0.786101RealScores: 72.158311 - 101.031600

Geelong Geelong 110 - 83 North Melbourne
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.77 wins - 0.23 winsRealProbs: 0.769066 - 0.230934RealScores: 109.969651 - 83.201067

Gold Coast 101 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
Carrara (QLD)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.778746 - 0.221254RealScores: 100.529705 - 72.578646

Sydney Sydney 109 - 74 Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.832286 - 0.167714RealScores: 109.148416 - 73.957768

West Coast 86 - 71 Richmond
Perth Stadium (WA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.651843 - 0.348157RealScores: 85.913172 - 71.403388

Western Bulldogs 106 - 74 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.806146 - 0.193854RealScores: 105.951926 - 74.453850

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	6 (6.37)	2	149.6
2	Western Bulldogs	6 (6.49)	2	133.5
3	Sydney	5 (4.87)	3	121.4
4	Hawthorn	5 (5.03)	3	116.5
5	Adelaide	5 (4.62)	3	112.6
6	Fremantle	4 (4.35)	4	112.5
7	Brisbane Lions	4 (3.96)	4	109.4
8	North Melbourne	4 (4.20)	4	101.6
9	Collingwood	4 (4.04)	4	100.4
10	Geelong	4 (4.35)	4	99.7
11	St Kilda	4 (3.50)	4	97.0
12	Greater Western Sydney	3 (3.38)	5	90.1
13	Port Adelaide	3 (3.12)	5	87.5
14	Melbourne	3 (3.42)	5	86.7
15	Carlton	3 (3.48)	5	84.0
16	West Coast	3 (2.60)	5	78.6
17	Richmond	2 (2.06)	6	75.1
18	Essendon	2 (2.15)	6	71.9

Round 9

Brisbane Lions 101 - 71 Carlton Carlton
Gabba (QLD)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.793645 - 0.206355RealScores: 101.316074 - 71.474727

Fremantle 87 - 92 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.450333 - 0.549667RealScores: 87.035406 - 91.990256

Geelong Geelong 90 - 85 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.544345 - 0.455655RealScores: 89.559311 - 85.154323

Gold Coast 100 - 74 St Kilda
Marrara Oval (NT)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.763343 - 0.236657RealScores: 100.164732 - 74.079427

Greater Western Sydney 96 - 72 Essendon
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.751721 - 0.248279RealScores: 96.282541 - 71.550263

Melbourne 99 - 83 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.668399 - 0.331601RealScores: 99.492723 - 83.413213

North Melbourne 78 - 96 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.315655 - 0.684345RealScores: 78.473211 - 96.098385

Port Adelaide 73 - 107 Western Bulldogs
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.18 wins - 0.82 winsRealProbs: 0.177175 - 0.822825RealScores: 72.988382 - 106.805039

Richmond 66 - 94 Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.218415 - 0.781585RealScores: 65.980665 - 94.285208

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	7 (7.09)	2	147.9
2	Western Bulldogs	7 (7.27)	2	134.8
3	Sydney	6 (5.53)	3	121.5
4	Hawthorn	6 (5.57)	3	115.3
5	Adelaide	5 (5.36)	4	115.4
6	Brisbane Lions	5 (4.71)	4	112.5
7	Fremantle	5 (4.81)	4	110.3
8	Geelong	5 (4.89)	4	100.2
9	Collingwood	5 (4.50)	4	99.7
10	North Melbourne	5 (4.54)	4	99.2
11	St Kilda	4 (3.78)	5	94.1
12	Greater Western Sydney	4 (4.10)	5	94.1
13	Melbourne	4 (4.06)	5	89.7
14	Carlton	4 (3.73)	5	82.4
15	Port Adelaide	3 (3.34)	6	85.0
16	West Coast	3 (2.96)	6	79.2
17	Richmond	2 (2.32)	7	74.6
18	Essendon	2 (2.43)	7	72.2

Round 10

Adelaide 102 - 72 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.798423 - 0.201577RealScores: 102.061526 - 71.594764

Brisbane Lions 102 - 87 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.653657 - 0.346343RealScores: 101.671456 - 86.991065

Carlton Carlton 71 - 109 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.15 wins - 0.85 winsRealProbs: 0.149057 - 0.850943RealScores: 71.183088 - 109.216239

Essendon 76 - 94 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.311731 - 0.688269RealScores: 75.779739 - 93.791374

Gold Coast 104 - 67 Port Adelaide
Marrara Oval (NT)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.843353 - 0.156647RealScores: 103.928522 - 67.073825

Melbourne 80 - 117 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.16 wins - 0.84 winsRealProbs: 0.155351 - 0.844649RealScores: 79.629679 - 116.683474

St Kilda 94 - 68 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.756115 - 0.243885RealScores: 93.617733 - 68.379187

Sydney Sydney 87 - 70 Collingwood
S.C.G. (NSW)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.681788 - 0.318212RealScores: 87.371167 - 69.996419

West Coast 80 - 91 Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.389565 - 0.610435RealScores: 80.384423 - 91.057458

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	8 (7.89)	2	148.6
2	Western Bulldogs	8 (8.08)	2	136.5
3	Sydney	6 (6.19)	4	121.8
4	Hawthorn	6 (6.38)	4	118.2
5	Adelaide	6 (6.12)	4	117.9
6	Brisbane Lions	5 (5.34)	5	112.9
7	Fremantle	5 (5.47)	5	111.6
8	Geelong	5 (5.26)	5	98.7
9	Collingwood	5 (4.84)	5	97.6
10	North Melbourne	5 (4.78)	5	95.9
11	Greater Western Sydney	5 (4.69)	5	95.8
12	St Kilda	4 (4.49)	6	97.5
13	Melbourne	4 (4.26)	6	87.3
14	Port Adelaide	4 (3.54)	6	82.8
15	Carlton	4 (3.92)	6	80.4
16	West Coast	3 (3.36)	7	80.1
17	Richmond	3 (2.60)	7	74.4
18	Essendon	3 (2.77)	7	73.0

Round 11

Collingwood 97 - 64 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.814318 - 0.185682RealScores: 96.990104 - 64.371985

Fremantle 96 - 77 St Kilda
Perth Stadium (WA)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.707763 - 0.292237RealScores: 96.489303 - 76.514898

Geelong Geelong 94 - 88 Sydney Sydney
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.569825 - 0.430175RealScores: 94.252859 - 87.532928

Greater Western Sydney 82 - 93 Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.383331 - 0.616669RealScores: 81.627776 - 92.874506

Hawthorn 93 - 81 Adelaide
York Park (TAS)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.625188 - 0.374812RealScores: 92.575694 - 80.543942

North Melbourne 77 - 103 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.24 wins - 0.76 winsRealProbs: 0.238916 - 0.761084RealScores: 77.272746 - 103.091605

Port Adelaide 84 - 80 Carlton Carlton
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.536801 - 0.463199RealScores: 83.549275 - 80.233904

Richmond 74 - 80 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.433315 - 0.566685RealScores: 74.087359 - 80.478306

Western Bulldogs 125 - 74 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.920461 - 0.079539RealScores: 124.786613 - 74.379251

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	9 (8.62)	2	147.1
2	Western Bulldogs	9 (8.96)	2	139.2
3	Sydney	7 (6.63)	4	118.7
4	Hawthorn	7 (6.99)	4	117.9
5	Adelaide	7 (6.51)	4	114.6
6	Brisbane Lions	6 (5.94)	5	113.0
7	Fremantle	6 (6.15)	5	112.8
8	Collingwood	6 (5.62)	5	101.5
9	Geelong	6 (5.82)	5	99.4
10	St Kilda	5 (4.82)	6	95.7
11	Greater Western Sydney	5 (5.09)	6	95.1
12	North Melbourne	5 (5.06)	6	93.8
13	Port Adelaide	4 (4.07)	7	84.4
14	Melbourne	4 (4.38)	7	84.2
15	Carlton	4 (4.40)	7	81.7
16	West Coast	4 (3.59)	7	78.8
17	Richmond	3 (3.04)	8	75.8
18	Essendon	3 (3.33)	8	75.4

Round 12

Brisbane Lions 95 - 79 Fremantle
Gabba (QLD)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.672725 - 0.327275RealScores: 95.423652 - 78.928438

Carlton Carlton 85 - 100 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.34 wins - 0.66 winsRealProbs: 0.343069 - 0.656931RealScores: 84.570672 - 99.559684

Melbourne 86 - 99 Greater Western Sydney
Traeger Park (NT)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.359061 - 0.640939RealScores: 85.869254 - 99.359738

St Kilda 79 - 102 Hawthorn
Docklands (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.263219 - 0.736781RealScores: 78.803996 - 101.859746

Sydney Sydney 104 - 58 Richmond
S.C.G. (NSW)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.899334 - 0.100666RealScores: 103.864631 - 57.541012

West Coast 87 - 78 Essendon
Perth Stadium (WA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.590096 - 0.409904RealScores: 86.638331 - 77.925453

Western Bulldogs 99 - 71 Collingwood
Docklands (VIC)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.776609 - 0.223391RealScores: 98.563020 - 70.876011

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	10 (9.70)	2	139.1
2	Gold Coast	9 (8.62)	2	147.1
3	Hawthorn	8 (7.69)	4	118.8
4	Sydney	7 (7.49)	5	122.5
5	Adelaide	7 (6.51)	4	114.6
6	Brisbane Lions	7 (6.59)	5	113.6
7	Fremantle	6 (6.50)	6	109.9
8	Geelong	6 (6.46)	6	100.8
9	Collingwood	6 (5.88)	6	98.5
10	Greater Western Sydney	6 (5.71)	6	96.7
11	St Kilda	5 (5.11)	7	93.9
12	North Melbourne	5 (5.06)	6	93.8
13	Melbourne	5 (4.76)	7	84.4
14	Carlton	5 (4.76)	7	82.0
15	Port Adelaide	4 (4.07)	7	84.4
16	West Coast	4 (4.17)	8	81.0
17	Essendon	4 (3.75)	8	76.4
18	Richmond	3 (3.18)	9	73.9

Round 13

Adelaide 98 - 83 Geelong Geelong
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.649296 - 0.350704RealScores: 97.703905 - 83.433034

Collingwood 96 - 78 Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.691907 - 0.308093RealScores: 96.235092 - 77.862712

Essendon 76 - 88 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.374926 - 0.625074RealScores: 76.071289 - 88.092513

Gold Coast 92 - 82 Brisbane Lions
Carrara (QLD)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.602396 - 0.397604RealScores: 91.623474 - 81.737273

Hawthorn 89 - 96 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.419927 - 0.580073RealScores: 88.515866 - 96.019772

North Melbourne 78 - 100 Fremantle
Hands Oval (WA)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.275029 - 0.724971RealScores: 78.251319 - 100.027155

Sydney Sydney 96 - 73 St Kilda
S.C.G. (NSW)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.741202 - 0.258798RealScores: 96.293484 - 72.748562

West Coast 84 - 81 Port Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.538974 - 0.461026RealScores: 84.073171 - 80.802265

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	10 (10.27)	3	136.5
2	Gold Coast	9 (9.21)	3	143.9
3	Sydney	8 (8.19)	5	123.2
4	Hawthorn	8 (8.12)	5	116.5
5	Adelaide	7 (7.14)	5	114.8
6	Brisbane Lions	7 (7.00)	6	111.6
7	Fremantle	7 (7.19)	6	111.2
8	Collingwood	7 (6.54)	6	100.4
9	Geelong	7 (6.83)	6	99.6
10	Greater Western Sydney	6 (5.71)	6	96.7
11	St Kilda	5 (5.41)	8	92.4
12	North Melbourne	5 (5.36)	7	92.4
13	Port Adelaide	5 (4.54)	7	85.3
14	Melbourne	5 (5.09)	8	84.1
15	Carlton	5 (5.37)	8	84.1
16	West Coast	5 (4.69)	8	82.5
17	Essendon	4 (4.14)	9	77.1
18	Richmond	3 (3.18)	9	73.9

Round 14

Geelong Geelong 91 - 95 Gold Coast
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.452584 - 0.547416RealScores: 91.323232 - 95.328098

Melbourne 95 - 85 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.604081 - 0.395919RealScores: 94.639435 - 84.712377

North Melbourne 93 - 82 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.613265 - 0.386735RealScores: 93.241733 - 82.317805

Port Adelaide 74 - 92 Sydney Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.312729 - 0.687271RealScores: 73.658234 - 91.571356

Richmond 63 - 105 Brisbane Lions
Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.13 wins - 0.87 winsRealProbs: 0.126401 - 0.873599RealScores: 63.025890 - 104.766517

St Kilda 89 - 83 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.571670 - 0.428330RealScores: 89.332204 - 82.838314

Western Bulldogs 100 - 74 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.763109 - 0.236891RealScores: 100.090537 - 74.032884

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	11 (11.00)	3	136.4
2	Gold Coast	10 (9.74)	3	140.2
3	Sydney	9 (8.85)	5	123.3
4	Hawthorn	8 (8.12)	5	116.5
5	Brisbane Lions	8 (7.84)	6	114.5
6	Fremantle	7 (7.19)	6	111.2
7	Adelaide	7 (7.42)	6	111.0
8	Collingwood	7 (6.54)	6	100.4
9	Geelong	7 (7.29)	7	99.3
10	Greater Western Sydney	6 (6.15)	7	96.4
11	North Melbourne	6 (5.96)	7	93.8
12	St Kilda	6 (5.96)	8	93.4
13	Melbourne	6 (5.68)	8	85.8
14	Port Adelaide	5 (4.88)	8	85.0
15	Carlton	5 (5.37)	8	84.1
16	West Coast	5 (5.09)	9	82.9
17	Essendon	5 (4.55)	9	78.0
18	Richmond	3 (3.35)	10	72.7

Round 15

Adelaide 109 - 73 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.843220 - 0.156780RealScores: 109.453990 - 72.619597

Collingwood 91 - 66 Port Adelaide
M.C.G. (VIC)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.752780 - 0.247220RealScores: 90.951934 - 66.098155

Fremantle 99 - 88 Geelong Geelong
Perth Stadium (WA)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.615450 - 0.384550RealScores: 98.870243 - 87.843460

Gold Coast 93 - 84 Hawthorn
Carrara (QLD)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.592628 - 0.407372RealScores: 92.915533 - 84.343812

Greater Western Sydney 92 - 77 Carlton Carlton
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.653138 - 0.346862RealScores: 91.728059 - 77.096553

Richmond 75 - 91 North Melbourne
M.C.G. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.329691 - 0.670309RealScores: 74.519059 - 90.781780

St Kilda 74 - 108 Western Bulldogs
Docklands (VIC)0.18 wins - 0.82 winsRealProbs: 0.176394 - 0.823606RealScores: 74.356817 - 108.285302

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	12 (11.78)	3	137.0
2	Gold Coast	10 (10.32)	4	137.8
3	Sydney	9 (8.85)	5	123.3
4	Hawthorn	9 (8.54)	5	114.5
5	Brisbane Lions	8 (7.84)	6	114.5
6	Adelaide	8 (8.22)	6	113.5
7	Fremantle	8 (7.79)	6	111.3
8	Geelong	8 (7.69)	7	98.6
9	Collingwood	7 (7.26)	7	102.6
10	Greater Western Sydney	7 (6.79)	7	97.8
11	North Melbourne	7 (6.61)	7	95.5
12	St Kilda	6 (6.18)	9	91.5
13	Melbourne	6 (5.88)	9	84.4
14	Carlton	6 (5.74)	8	84.1
15	Port Adelaide	5 (5.16)	9	84.1
16	West Coast	5 (5.09)	9	82.9
17	Essendon	5 (4.55)	9	78.0
18	Richmond	4 (3.70)	10	73.4

Round 16

Brisbane Lions 89 - 80 Sydney Sydney
Gabba (QLD)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.591918 - 0.408082RealScores: 88.846906 - 80.469297

Carlton Carlton 94 - 73 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.721462 - 0.278538RealScores: 94.463265 - 73.060630

Collingwood 91 - 61 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.79 wins - 0.21 winsRealProbs: 0.791306 - 0.208694RealScores: 90.931086 - 61.392298

Fremantle 84 - 89 Gold Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.44 wins - 0.56 winsRealProbs: 0.438948 - 0.561052RealScores: 83.695999 - 88.866929

Hawthorn 106 - 73 Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.813954 - 0.186046RealScores: 106.039107 - 73.471522

North Melbourne 93 - 79 Essendon
Docklands (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.639016 - 0.360984RealScores: 92.683833 - 79.372138

Port Adelaide 70 - 95 Adelaide
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.246885 - 0.753115RealScores: 69.697699 - 94.589929

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	12 (11.78)	3	137.0
2	Gold Coast	11 (10.86)	4	135.5
3	Sydney	9 (9.28)	6	120.8
4	Hawthorn	9 (9.32)	6	116.2
5	Adelaide	9 (8.94)	6	114.8
6	Brisbane Lions	8 (8.41)	7	114.3
7	Fremantle	8 (8.25)	7	110.1
8	Collingwood	8 (8.01)	7	104.9
9	Geelong	8 (7.69)	7	98.6
10	North Melbourne	7 (7.23)	8	96.7
11	Greater Western Sydney	7 (7.01)	8	95.6
12	St Kilda	6 (6.18)	9	91.5
13	Carlton	6 (6.43)	9	86.5
14	Melbourne	6 (5.88)	9	84.4
15	Port Adelaide	5 (5.45)	10	83.4
16	West Coast	5 (5.40)	10	82.5
17	Essendon	5 (4.93)	10	78.5
18	Richmond	4 (3.95)	11	73.0

Round 17

Essendon 75 - 93 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.312329 - 0.687671RealScores: 75.143421 - 93.096047

Geelong Geelong 96 - 93 Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.546911 - 0.453089RealScores: 96.150938 - 92.511583

Gold Coast 93 - 69 Collingwood
Carrara (QLD)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.752939 - 0.247061RealScores: 93.381650 - 68.509632

Greater Western Sydney 85 - 87 Fremantle
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.475123 - 0.524877RealScores: 85.343853 - 86.797169

Hawthorn 120 - 77 Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.881934 - 0.118066RealScores: 119.746537 - 76.566615

Port Adelaide 88 - 83 North Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.559252 - 0.440748RealScores: 88.290419 - 83.404775

Richmond 70 - 88 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.309251 - 0.690749RealScores: 69.752377 - 88.009725

Sydney Sydney 82 - 92 Western Bulldogs
S.C.G. (NSW)0.39 wins - 0.61 winsRealProbs: 0.391299 - 0.608701RealScores: 82.160915 - 92.213111

West Coast 73 - 97 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.251627 - 0.748373RealScores: 72.543391 - 96.894083

		W	L	%
1	Gold Coast	12 (11.58)	4	135.6
2	Western Bulldogs	12 (12.37)	4	135.4
3	Hawthorn	10 (10.16)	6	118.5
4	Sydney	10 (9.69)	6	118.5
5	Adelaide	10 (9.65)	6	115.9
6	Brisbane Lions	9 (8.88)	7	113.0
7	Fremantle	9 (8.75)	7	109.6
8	Collingwood	8 (8.30)	8	102.6
9	Geelong	8 (8.22)	8	98.9
10	North Melbourne	8 (7.69)	8	96.6
11	Greater Western Sydney	8 (7.51)	8	95.7
12	St Kilda	7 (6.84)	9	93.2
13	Carlton	7 (7.09)	9	88.4
14	Port Adelaide	6 (5.99)	10	84.7
15	Melbourne	6 (6.04)	10	82.9
16	West Coast	6 (5.69)	10	82.1
17	Essendon	5 (5.27)	11	78.6
18	Richmond	4 (4.29)	12	73.4

Round 18

Adelaide 84 - 83 Gold Coast
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.518027 - 0.481973RealScores: 83.755427 - 83.056903

Brisbane Lions 108 - 65 Essendon
Gabba (QLD)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.883522 - 0.116478RealScores: 108.324454 - 64.865456

Carlton Carlton 74 - 104 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.201945 - 0.798055RealScores: 73.843437 - 104.261657

Collingwood 90 - 76 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.647100 - 0.352900RealScores: 90.196125 - 76.130903

Fremantle 85 - 83 Sydney Sydney
Perth Stadium (WA)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.535018 - 0.464982RealScores: 85.175552 - 82.811429

Greater Western Sydney 91 - 95 Geelong Geelong
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.449654 - 0.550346RealScores: 91.270798 - 95.162133

Melbourne 95 - 77 Richmond
M.C.G. (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.678889 - 0.321111RealScores: 94.577212 - 77.485233

St Kilda 94 - 74 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.703297 - 0.296703RealScores: 93.550840 - 74.032869

Western Bulldogs 125 - 61 West Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.98 wins - 0.02 winsRealProbs: 0.981869 - 0.018131RealScores: 125.400920 - 61.271789

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	13 (13.31)	4	138.6
2	Gold Coast	12 (12.08)	5	133.2
3	Hawthorn	11 (10.91)	6	119.6
4	Sydney	10 (10.18)	7	117.1
5	Brisbane Lions	10 (9.73)	7	115.5
6	Adelaide	10 (10.15)	7	114.9
7	Fremantle	9 (9.27)	8	109.2
8	Collingwood	9 (8.92)	8	103.5
9	Geelong	9 (8.75)	8	99.2
10	North Melbourne	8 (8.06)	9	95.9
11	Greater Western Sydney	8 (7.98)	9	95.7
12	St Kilda	8 (7.51)	9	94.8
13	Carlton	7 (7.33)	10	87.2
14	Melbourne	7 (6.69)	10	84.7
15	Port Adelaide	6 (6.31)	11	84.3
16	West Coast	6 (5.75)	11	79.5
17	Essendon	5 (5.43)	12	77.4
18	Richmond	5 (4.64)	12	73.9

Round 19

Collingwood 86 - 73 Carlton Carlton
M.C.G. (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.641397 - 0.358603RealScores: 85.987127 - 72.584282

Essendon 77 - 91 Greater Western Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.355439 - 0.644561RealScores: 77.038626 - 90.794178

Geelong Geelong 104 - 83 St Kilda
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.721285 - 0.278715RealScores: 104.387064 - 83.003135

Gold Coast 88 - 89 Western Bulldogs
Carrara (QLD)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.477449 - 0.522551RealScores: 88.278945 - 89.336835

North Melbourne 99 - 92 Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.580322 - 0.419678RealScores: 98.625047 - 91.770586

Port Adelaide 78 - 90 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.370204 - 0.629796RealScores: 78.175563 - 90.297090

Richmond 62 - 112 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)0.08 wins - 0.92 winsRealProbs: 0.081464 - 0.918536RealScores: 61.890766 - 111.913359

Sydney Sydney 86 - 76 Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.609878 - 0.390122RealScores: 86.340734 - 76.376652

West Coast 74 - 103 Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium (WA)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.217525 - 0.782475RealScores: 74.427598 - 102.843556

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	14 (13.81)	4	136.2
2	Gold Coast	13 (12.58)	5	131.0
3	Hawthorn	12 (11.79)	6	122.2
4	Sydney	11 (10.76)	7	116.9
5	Adelaide	11 (10.56)	7	113.4
6	Brisbane Lions	10 (10.47)	8	116.6
7	Fremantle	10 (9.87)	8	109.5
8	Collingwood	10 (9.54)	8	104.3
9	Geelong	9 (9.44)	9	100.5
10	Greater Western Sydney	9 (8.60)	9	96.8
11	North Melbourne	9 (8.62)	9	96.5
12	St Kilda	8 (7.83)	10	93.8
13	Carlton	8 (7.71)	10	87.1
14	Melbourne	7 (7.13)	11	85.1
15	Port Adelaide	7 (6.71)	11	84.4
16	West Coast	6 (6.01)	12	79.1
17	Essendon	6 (5.81)	12	77.8
18	Richmond	5 (4.76)	13	72.7

Round 20

Adelaide 88 - 69 Collingwood
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.699914 - 0.300086RealScores: 87.949832 - 68.774760

Brisbane Lions 105 - 67 Port Adelaide
Gabba (QLD)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.848736 - 0.151264RealScores: 104.671471 - 66.984128

Carlton Carlton 74 - 98 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.252786 - 0.747214RealScores: 73.808581 - 98.027907

Fremantle 103 - 70 West Coast
Perth Stadium (WA)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.813295 - 0.186705RealScores: 102.926038 - 70.449830

Greater Western Sydney 77 - 91 Sydney Sydney
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.346664 - 0.653336RealScores: 76.722423 - 91.352220

Hawthorn 113 - 66 Essendon
M.C.G. (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.899070 - 0.100930RealScores: 112.661149 - 66.386704

Melbourne 90 - 112 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.267685 - 0.732315RealScores: 89.908154 - 112.475443

North Melbourne 85 - 92 St Kilda
Docklands (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.416041 - 0.583959RealScores: 85.270415 - 92.410069

Western Bulldogs 120 - 57 Richmond
Docklands (VIC)0.98 wins - 0.02 winsRealProbs: 0.975246 - 0.024754RealScores: 119.846750 - 57.340542

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	15 (14.74)	4	139.1
2	Gold Coast	13 (13.29)	6	131.1
3	Hawthorn	13 (12.65)	6	124.2
4	Brisbane Lions	11 (11.27)	8	118.3
5	Sydney	11 (11.39)	8	117.0
6	Adelaide	11 (11.23)	8	114.0
7	Fremantle	11 (10.64)	8	111.2
8	Collingwood	10 (9.87)	9	102.8
9	Geelong	10 (10.13)	9	101.8
10	North Melbourne	9 (9.06)	10	96.3
11	Greater Western Sydney	9 (8.97)	10	96.1
12	St Kilda	8 (8.39)	11	94.5
13	Carlton	8 (8.01)	11	86.4
14	Melbourne	7 (7.44)	12	84.8
15	Port Adelaide	7 (6.90)	12	83.2
16	West Coast	6 (6.24)	13	78.5
17	Essendon	6 (5.95)	13	76.6
18	Richmond	5 (4.83)	14	71.0

Round 21

Carlton Carlton 77 - 96 Brisbane Lions
Docklands (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.303448 - 0.696552RealScores: 76.977154 - 95.813647

Collingwood 87 - 88 Geelong Geelong
M.C.G. (VIC)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.473487 - 0.526513RealScores: 86.710496 - 88.003138

Essendon 71 - 95 Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.250182 - 0.749818RealScores: 70.545339 - 95.060250

Fremantle 83 - 97 Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium (WA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.353775 - 0.646225RealScores: 83.338799 - 97.066977

Gold Coast 119 - 71 Melbourne
Carrara (QLD)0.91 wins - 0.09 winsRealProbs: 0.909320 - 0.090680RealScores: 118.838182 - 70.622090

Hawthorn 112 - 75 North Melbourne
York Park (TAS)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.844917 - 0.155083RealScores: 112.015023 - 74.919965

Port Adelaide 83 - 84 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.468756 - 0.531244RealScores: 82.661143 - 84.415326

Richmond 80 - 77 West Coast
M.C.G. (VIC)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.549226 - 0.450774RealScores: 80.422746 - 76.893814

St Kilda 79 - 90 Sydney Sydney
Docklands (VIC)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.383302 - 0.616698RealScores: 79.270746 - 89.771299

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	15 (15.36)	5	137.9
2	Gold Coast	14 (14.15)	6	132.8
3	Hawthorn	13 (13.45)	7	125.3
4	Brisbane Lions	12 (11.94)	8	118.6
5	Sydney	12 (11.98)	8	116.8
6	Adelaide	12 (11.94)	8	114.9
7	Fremantle	11 (11.02)	9	109.7
8	Geelong	11 (10.63)	9	101.7
9	Collingwood	10 (10.37)	10	102.5
10	Greater Western Sydney	9 (9.48)	11	96.4
11	North Melbourne	9 (9.26)	11	94.5
12	St Kilda	9 (8.80)	11	94.2
13	Carlton	8 (8.34)	12	86.1
14	Melbourne	8 (7.57)	12	83.3
15	Port Adelaide	7 (7.40)	13	83.9
16	West Coast	7 (6.72)	13	79.2
17	Essendon	6 (6.24)	14	76.5
18	Richmond	5 (5.35)	15	72.4

Round 22

Adelaide 106 - 54 Richmond
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.924796 - 0.075204RealScores: 105.774558 - 54.491315

Brisbane Lions 90 - 89 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.514444 - 0.485556RealScores: 90.005374 - 89.948808

Geelong Geelong 112 - 72 Essendon
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.87 wins - 0.13 winsRealProbs: 0.868153 - 0.131847RealScores: 112.334314 - 71.511858

Greater Western Sydney 77 - 96 Gold Coast
Manuka Oval (NSW)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.309788 - 0.690212RealScores: 77.452153 - 95.656198

Melbourne 86 - 101 Fremantle
M.C.G. (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.346217 - 0.653783RealScores: 86.133412 - 100.606287

St Kilda 89 - 81 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.592624 - 0.407376RealScores: 88.647182 - 80.779756

Sydney Sydney 100 - 65 Port Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.834089 - 0.165911RealScores: 100.343485 - 64.886106

West Coast 74 - 88 Collingwood
Perth Stadium (WA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.347409 - 0.652591RealScores: 73.511436 - 87.850652

Western Bulldogs 118 - 71 North Melbourne
Docklands (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.900028 - 0.099972RealScores: 117.922976 - 71.470066

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	16 (16.22)	5	139.1
2	Gold Coast	15 (14.81)	6	132.4
3	Hawthorn	14 (13.95)	7	124.0
4	Sydney	13 (12.77)	8	118.3
5	Adelaide	13 (12.82)	8	117.6
6	Brisbane Lions	12 (12.44)	9	117.7
7	Fremantle	12 (11.65)	9	110.0
8	Geelong	11 (11.45)	10	103.8
9	Collingwood	11 (11.00)	10	103.3
10	Greater Western Sydney	10 (9.82)	11	95.6
11	St Kilda	9 (9.36)	12	94.9
12	North Melbourne	9 (9.41)	12	92.4
13	Carlton	9 (8.78)	12	86.3
14	Melbourne	8 (7.95)	13	83.5
15	Port Adelaide	8 (7.61)	13	82.9
16	West Coast	7 (7.10)	14	79.4
17	Essendon	6 (6.42)	15	75.8
18	Richmond	5 (5.47)	16	71.3

Round 23

Brisbane Lions 84 - 90 Gold Coast
Gabba (QLD)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.426396 - 0.573604RealScores: 83.765034 - 89.595714

Essendon 70 - 97 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)0.23 wins - 0.77 winsRealProbs: 0.226817 - 0.773183RealScores: 69.695185 - 96.962392

Fremantle 86 - 81 Adelaide
Perth Stadium (WA)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.567304 - 0.432696RealScores: 86.279143 - 81.087446

Greater Western Sydney 101 - 70 West Coast
Sydney Showground (NSW)0.80 wins - 0.20 winsRealProbs: 0.798560 - 0.201440RealScores: 100.963342 - 70.478538

Hawthorn 94 - 74 Collingwood
M.C.G. (VIC)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.707779 - 0.292221RealScores: 93.944183 - 73.968065

North Melbourne 88 - 105 Geelong Geelong
Docklands (VIC)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.323150 - 0.676850RealScores: 88.138370 - 105.032348

Port Adelaide 94 - 85 Melbourne
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.607511 - 0.392489RealScores: 94.264517 - 84.918192

Richmond 69 - 93 St Kilda
M.C.G. (VIC)0.26 wins - 0.74 winsRealProbs: 0.262359 - 0.737641RealScores: 69.423227 - 92.573694

Western Bulldogs 112 - 69 Carlton Carlton
Docklands (VIC)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.882594 - 0.117406RealScores: 111.847550 - 68.551777

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	17 (17.05)	5	140.1
2	Gold Coast	15 (15.35)	7	131.1
3	Hawthorn	15 (14.62)	7	124.1
4	Sydney	13 (13.50)	9	119.2
5	Brisbane Lions	13 (12.89)	9	116.5
6	Adelaide	13 (13.28)	9	116.4
7	Fremantle	12 (12.18)	10	109.9
8	Geelong	12 (12.10)	10	104.5
9	Collingwood	11 (11.33)	11	102.0
10	Greater Western Sydney	11 (10.57)	11	97.3
11	St Kilda	10 (10.05)	12	96.3
12	North Melbourne	10 (9.76)	12	92.0
13	Carlton	9 (8.94)	13	85.0
14	Port Adelaide	8 (8.19)	14	84.1
15	Melbourne	8 (8.37)	14	83.7
16	West Coast	7 (7.34)	15	79.0
17	Essendon	7 (6.69)	15	75.6
18	Richmond	6 (5.77)	16	71.4

Round 24

Adelaide 96 - 71 Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval (SA)0.75 wins - 0.25 winsRealProbs: 0.754331 - 0.245669RealScores: 96.183740 - 71.151412

Carlton Carlton 82 - 88 Fremantle
Docklands (VIC)0.42 wins - 0.58 winsRealProbs: 0.417074 - 0.582926RealScores: 81.616911 - 88.325437

Collingwood 79 - 84 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.430164 - 0.569836RealScores: 78.992951 - 84.368189

Essendon 81 - 80 Port Adelaide
Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.528344 - 0.471656RealScores: 81.476539 - 80.208698

Geelong Geelong 113 - 64 Richmond
Kardinia Park (Gee)0.91 wins - 0.09 winsRealProbs: 0.913809 - 0.086191RealScores: 113.378153 - 64.289335

Melbourne 75 - 125 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)0.08 wins - 0.92 winsRealProbs: 0.080870 - 0.919130RealScores: 74.512454 - 124.653409

St Kilda 77 - 97 Gold Coast
Docklands (VIC)0.30 wins - 0.70 winsRealProbs: 0.297442 - 0.702558RealScores: 77.400641 - 96.843517

Sydney Sydney 103 - 71 North Melbourne
S.C.G. (NSW)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.811231 - 0.188769RealScores: 103.381536 - 71.190060

West Coast 73 - 111 Hawthorn
Perth Stadium (WA)0.15 wins - 0.85 winsRealProbs: 0.148679 - 0.851321RealScores: 72.653801 - 110.746370

		W	L	%
1	Western Bulldogs	18 (17.93)	5	141.2
2	Gold Coast	16 (16.01)	7	130.8
3	Hawthorn	15 (15.42)	8	125.2
4	Sydney	14 (14.26)	9	120.2
5	Adelaide	14 (13.99)	9	117.1
6	Brisbane Lions	13 (13.43)	10	116.0
7	Fremantle	13 (12.73)	10	109.8
8	Geelong	13 (12.96)	10	106.7
9	Collingwood	12 (11.79)	11	101.6
10	Greater Western Sydney	11 (10.86)	12	96.2
11	St Kilda	10 (10.39)	13	95.5
12	North Melbourne	10 (10.00)	13	90.9
13	Carlton	9 (9.40)	14	85.3
14	Port Adelaide	9 (8.69)	14	84.6
15	Melbourne	8 (8.50)	15	82.5
16	West Coast	8 (7.54)	15	78.3
17	Essendon	7 (7.19)	16	76.6
18	Richmond	6 (5.90)	17	70.7

FINALS: WEEK 1

Western Bulldogs 99 - 76 Sydney Sydney
M.C.G. (VIC)

Gold Coast 92 - 85 Hawthorn
Gabba (QLD)

Adelaide 92 - 75 Fremantle
Adelaide Oval (SA)

Brisbane Lions 102 - 86 Geelong Geelong
Gabba (QLD)

FINALS: WEEK 2

Sydney Sydney 86 - 77 Adelaide
S.C.G. (NSW)

Hawthorn 97 - 83 Brisbane Lions
M.C.G. (VIC)

FINALS: WEEK 3

Western Bulldogs 97 - 87 Hawthorn
M.C.G. (VIC)

Gold Coast 91 - 76 Sydney Sydney
Gabba (QLD)

2026 AFL GRAND FINAL

Gold Coast 83 - 94 Western Bulldogs
M.C.G. (VIC)

Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE.

Tipping by SQUIGGLE7

SQUIGGLE FLAGPOLE

Flag height indicates a team's strength (venue-neutral), downscaled by their likelihood of missing finals. Use the top buttons to play through the season. For details, see INFO → Flagpole.

		Flagpole Height
1	Western Bulldogs	65.0
2	Gold Coast	62.1
3	Hawthorn	61.5
4	Brisbane Lions	59.2
5	Sydney	58.7
6	Adelaide	57.8
7	Geelong	56.4
8	Fremantle	55.7
9	Collingwood	54.4
10	Greater Western Sydney	53.1
11	St Kilda	52.3
12	Carlton	50.3
13	North Melbourne	50.0
14	Melbourne	48.8
15	Port Adelaide	48.5
16	Essendon	46.4
17	West Coast	45.4
18	Richmond	43.9

REGULAR SEASON FORM

Teams ranked on their strength in normal matches, i.e. their squiggle scores.

		Attack	Defence	Combined
1	Western Bulldogs	67.6	62.3	65.0
2	Gold Coast	62.3	62.0	62.2
3	Hawthorn	64.1	59.2	61.6
4	Brisbane Lions	60.2	58.2	59.2
5	Sydney	57.6	60.0	58.8
6	Adelaide	56.6	59.3	57.9
7	Geelong	61.4	51.6	56.5
8	Fremantle	56.2	55.4	55.8
9	Collingwood	51.2	57.7	54.5
10	Greater Western Sydney	53.5	53.0	53.3
11	St Kilda	52.9	52.0	52.5
12	Carlton	49.9	51.2	50.6
13	North Melbourne	52.1	48.6	50.3
14	Melbourne	52.9	45.3	49.1
15	Port Adelaide	47.5	50.0	48.8
16	Essendon	45.5	47.9	46.7
17	West Coast	45.5	46.1	45.8
18	Richmond	41.2	47.5	44.4

MOST LIKELY GRAND FINALS

Western Bulldogs def Brisbane Lions	6.1%
Brisbane Lions def Western Bulldogs	5.9%
Brisbane Lions def Geelong	5.8%
Geelong def Brisbane Lions	5.3%
Western Bulldogs def Geelong	4.6%
Geelong def Western Bulldogs	4.3%
Brisbane Lions def Hawthorn	3.6%
Hawthorn def Brisbane Lions	2.9%
Western Bulldogs def Hawthorn	2.8%
Geelong def Hawthorn	2.8%
Brisbane Lions def Adelaide	2.3%
Hawthorn def Western Bulldogs	2.1%
Hawthorn def Geelong	2.0%
Brisbane Lions def Collingwood	1.8%
Brisbane Lions def Gold Coast	1.8%
Western Bulldogs def Adelaide	1.7%
Brisbane Lions def Carlton	1.7%
Geelong def Adelaide	1.6%
Western Bulldogs def Collingwood	1.6%
Western Bulldogs def Gold Coast	1.5%

EDIT SQUIGGLE

Oooh past

Oooh future

TODO:

(1) Allow for updating of FLAGPOLE

(2) Allow for updating of TOWER

(3) Allow for updating of TIPS

(4) Allow for modification of future games

(5) Allow for modification of past games

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