Autonomous decisions | MINLP solvers | Numerical AI Industrial MIP and MINLP decision-making powered by generative AI Wed, 11 Dec 2024 13:29:53 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 https://www.octeract.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/cropped-favicon-32x32.png Autonomous decisions | MINLP solvers | Numerical AI 32 32 Optimising shift allocation https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-shift-allocation/ Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:45:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4178 Case study: optimising shift allocation Client A large EU-based chemical company. Problem Team leads at the company faced significant challenges in managing monthly resource shift allocations. They struggled to balance employee skill sets, holiday requests, non-availability, and stringent work council constraints. Meeting operational requirements while maximising employee job preferences was especially difficult during high-demand periods […]

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Case study: optimising shift allocation

Client

A large EU-based chemical company.

Problem

Team leads at the company faced significant challenges in managing monthly resource shift allocations. They struggled to balance employee skill sets, holiday requests, non-availability, and stringent work council constraints. Meeting operational requirements while maximising employee job preferences was especially difficult during high-demand periods like summer.

How we helped

We developed a custom solution using our advanced decision-making technology to tackle these challenges. Our system handled complex constraints effortlessly, featuring dynamic constraint management that adjusted in real-time. With a user-friendly interface, data input and inspection became straightforward. Automated scheduling eliminated manual effort and reduced errors, while real-time adjustments allowed quick responses to last-minute changes, such as unexpected sick leaves. Our optimisation technology not only created feasible work schedules instantly but also maximised employee satisfaction.

Impact

Our solution improved employee wellbeing as well as the company’s finances. Efficiency increased dramatically, reducing the time spent on shift allocation by 80%—from 20 hours per month to just 4 hours. Employee satisfaction improved by over 30%, thanks to optimised job allocations and fair, transparent scheduling. The enhanced system flexibility eliminated scheduling conflicts wherever possible and automatically reported any infeasibilities due to insufficient manpower. Compliance with work council regulations was maintained. The resulting boost in productivity and reduction in overtime costs (>25%), saved the company over €1 million annually.

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Enhancing energy trading https://www.octeract.com/case-study-enhancing-energy-trading/ https://www.octeract.com/case-study-enhancing-energy-trading/#respond Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:40:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4216 Case study: enhancing energy trading Client A large EU energy distributor. Problem The client faced challenges in maximising trading revenue across a vast portfolio of energy products and millions of customers. They needed a solution that could calculate optimal pricing and allocation while adhering to stringent regulations and considering customer behaviour patterns. How we helped […]

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Case study: enhancing energy trading

Client

A large EU energy distributor.

Problem

The client faced challenges in maximising trading revenue across a vast portfolio of energy products and millions of customers. They needed a solution that could calculate optimal pricing and allocation while adhering to stringent regulations and considering customer behaviour patterns.

How we helped

We developed custom trading technology to address these challenges. Our system calculated the optimal pricing for a portfolio of the client’s energy products. It also determined the best allocation strategy for these products to millions of customers, taking customer behaviour into account. The goal was to maximise revenue while ensuring compliance with all relevant regulations. Our highly flexible solution could be adapted to execute any revenue maximisation strategy the client wished to pursue.

Impact

When evaluated by the client, our trading solution was found to increase their projected trading revenue by 8%. Our solution was rigorously tested on production data, involving a portfolio of 100 energy products and 1,800,000 customers. Our technology stood out as the only solution that worked effectively in this complex scenario. Taking customer behaviour into account further ensured that the strategies implemented were not only optimal but also customer-centric, leading to sustainable business growth.

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Optimising power flow https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-power-flow/ https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-power-flow/#respond Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:35:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4221 Case study: optimising power flow Client A leading energy producer. Problem The client faced a critical challenge in minimising the operational costs of their real-life power grid. They needed a solution capable of optimising power flow every five minutes to ensure timely adjustments and actualize savings. The existing market solutions were unable to meet this […]

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Case study: optimising power flow

Client

A leading energy producer.

Problem

The client faced a critical challenge in minimising the operational costs of their real-life power grid. They needed a solution capable of optimising power flow every five minutes to ensure timely adjustments and actualize savings. The existing market solutions were unable to meet this stringent requirement.

How we helped

We developed a bespoke backend grid optimisation solution which was piloted in production to address this challenge. Our advanced system was the only solution on the market capable of minimising the operational costs of the power grid within the necessary time frame. We achieved this by computing the best possible configuration in just 60 seconds, well within the required five-minute window for adjustments.

Impact

Our technology enabled the client to make real-time, cost-saving adjustments to their power grid operations. By consistently solving the optimisation problem every five minutes and providing the best configuration in 60 seconds, the operational savings were not only theoretical but realised in practice. This capability set our solution apart from others on the market, demonstrating its effectiveness and reliability in a demanding production environment.

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Optimising pricing strategy https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-pricing-strategy/ https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-pricing-strategy/#respond Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:30:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4227 Case study: optimising pricing strategy Client A global long-term accommodation rental company. Problem The client needed to develop an optimal pricing strategy to maximise annual revenue. This required accurately forecasting demand and availability while considering a vast array of client data. The complexity of predicting these variables and finding the balance between occupancy and pricing […]

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Case study: optimising pricing strategy

Client

A global long-term accommodation rental company.

Problem

The client needed to develop an optimal pricing strategy to maximise annual revenue. This required accurately forecasting demand and availability while considering a vast array of client data. The complexity of predicting these variables and finding the balance between occupancy and pricing posed a significant challenge, and the stakes were high as the client’s margins were on the line.

How we helped

We developed a predictive machine learning model of customer behaviour using the client’s data. Our model analysed historical data to accurately forecast demand and availability. With these insights, we implemented an end-to-end optimal pricing solution designed to maximise annual revenue. Our solution drove the strategy of finding the sweet spot between taking the risk of leaving a flat vacant for a short period to rent it at a higher price later. This approach ensured that overall revenue was maximised over 12 months. The solution could continuously adjust prices based on real-time data, ensuring the strategy remained effective under varying market conditions.

Impact

Our end-to-end solution enabled the client to significantly boost their annual revenue. By accurately forecasting demand and adjusting prices dynamically, the client could optimise occupancy rates and revenue streams. The optimisation strategy ensured that flats were rented at the most profitable times, balancing the risk of vacancy with the potential for higher rental income.

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1000x faster logistics processing https://www.octeract.com/case-study-1000x-faster-logistics-processing/ https://www.octeract.com/case-study-1000x-faster-logistics-processing/#respond Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:28:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4231 Case Study: 1000x faster logistics processing Client A UK-based logistics company. Problem The client faced significant challenges with their SaaS backend’s performance, which was inefficient at processing large datasets. The existing optimization system could only handle up to 200,000 variables, restricting their ability to solve complex logistical problems swiftly and effectively. They sought to evaluate […]

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Case Study: 1000x faster logistics processing

Client

A UK-based logistics company.

Problem

The client faced significant challenges with their SaaS backend’s performance, which was inefficient at processing large datasets. The existing optimization system could only handle up to 200,000 variables, restricting their ability to solve complex logistical problems swiftly and effectively. They sought to evaluate the feasibility of handling much larger problems at a faster rate, which would enable them to significantly expand their business operations.

How we helped

We upgraded the client’s SaaS backend, dramatically improving its efficiency and capacity. Our solution enabled the system to process datasets and solve problems thousands of times faster than before. We enhanced the backend to handle over 50 million variables in minutes, a substantial increase from the previous 200,000 variable limit. This upgrade involved optimising algorithms and leveraging advanced computational techniques and tooling to ensure rapid processing and problem-solving.

Impact

The upgraded SaaS backend now processes complex logistical datasets in minutes, handling over 50 million variables efficiently. This improvement enabled the client to solve intricate logistical problems much faster than before, enhancing their operational efficiency and decision-making capabilities. The dramatic increase in processing speed and capacity provided a significant competitive advantage.

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Optimising liner loading https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-liner-loading/ https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-liner-loading/#respond Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:25:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4236 Case Study: optimising liner loading Client An Asian maritime consultancy. Problem The client needed to optimise the loading of liners efficiently. Existing open-source solutions were too slow, limiting their ability to determine optimal loading configurations quickly. This inefficiency hindered their operational effectiveness and impacted their ability to provide timely consultancy services. How we helped Leveraging […]

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Case Study: optimising liner loading

Client

An Asian maritime consultancy.

Problem

The client needed to optimise the loading of liners efficiently. Existing open-source solutions were too slow, limiting their ability to determine optimal loading configurations quickly. This inefficiency hindered their operational effectiveness and impacted their ability to provide timely consultancy services.

How we helped

Leveraging our world-class algorithmic expertise, we developed a bespoke solution that determined the optimal loading of liners 10 to 100 times faster than available open-source alternatives. Our approach involved integrating cutting-edge algorithms that efficiently handled complex loading scenarios, accommodating various constraints and variables unique to the maritime industry. This bespoke solution provided the client with a robust tool capable of quickly generating optimal loading plans, significantly boosting their operational efficiency and decision-making capabilities.

Impact

The client saw a remarkable improvement in processing speed, enabling them to determine optimal loading configurations up to 100 times faster. This enhancement led to increased operational efficiency, allowing them to deliver timely and accurate services. The ability to quickly generate optimal loading plans provided a significant competitive edge in the maritime consultancy sector, elevating their service quality, client satisfaction, and client acquisition.

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Portfolio optimisation for an asset manager https://www.octeract.com/case-study-deterministic-global-optimisation-for-an-asset-manager/ https://www.octeract.com/case-study-deterministic-global-optimisation-for-an-asset-manager/#respond Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:23:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4238 Case study: portfolio optimisation for an asset manager Client A buy-side asset manager. Problem The client faced significant challenges in optimising portfolios under complex constraints. Traditional optimization methods were inadequate for handling cardinality constraints and risk constraints to the client’s specifications. These limitations resulted in suboptimal asset allocations, impacting the ability to maximise returns while […]

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Case study: portfolio optimisation for an asset manager

Client

A buy-side asset manager.

Problem

The client faced significant challenges in optimising portfolios under complex constraints. Traditional optimization methods were inadequate for handling cardinality constraints and risk constraints to the client’s specifications. These limitations resulted in suboptimal asset allocations, impacting the ability to maximise returns while controlling risk.

How we helped

We developed an end-to-end bespoke global optimisation solution for the client’s portfolio optimisation problem. Our solution uniquely handled the mathematical complexities of an extended Markowitz model, which included cardinality constraints and tracking error constraints. This advanced capability enabled the client to accurately model and solve optimization problems that were previously unsolvable.

Impact

By accurately solving non-convex optimization problems, the client could now generate Pareto frontiers for portfolios with fixed cardinalities, achieving much better risk-return trade-offs. This allowed the client to identify optimal asset combinations and make more informed investment decisions. As a result, the client experienced significant enhancements in portfolio performance, with a marked increase in returns and better risk management. Our approach provided clarity and precision that heuristic methods could not match, ensuring that the client’s strategies were both robust and reliable.

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Optimising chemical plant scheduling https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-chemical-plant-scheduling/ Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:20:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4224 Case study: optimising chemical plant scheduling Client A large EU-based chemical company. Problem The client faced significant challenges in scheduling machinery in their chemical plants. They needed to optimise operational costs while meeting demand and considering maintenance requirements. The uncertainty in demand and maintenance schedules made the task even more complex. How we helped We […]

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Case study: optimising chemical plant scheduling

Client

A large EU-based chemical company.

Problem

The client faced significant challenges in scheduling machinery in their chemical plants. They needed to optimise operational costs while meeting demand and considering maintenance requirements. The uncertainty in demand and maintenance schedules made the task even more complex.

How we helped

We engineered a custom solution to address these challenges. Our system optimised the scheduling of chemical plant machinery, focusing on minimising operational costs while ensuring demand was met. It also incorporated maintenance schedules and accounted for uncertainties in both demand and maintenance, ensuring the solution was robust and adaptable to real-world conditions.

Impact

Our solution enabled the client to significantly reduce operational costs by 18% while consistently meeting demand. The optimised scheduling also ensured that maintenance requirements were seamlessly integrated, leading to more efficient and reliable plant operations. Our solution’s ability to handle uncertainty provided the client with a flexible and resilient scheduling tool.

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Optimising inventory and distribution strategy https://www.octeract.com/case-study-optimising-inventory-and-distribution-strategy/ Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:15:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=5317 Case study: optimising inventory and distribution strategy Client An EU logistics and supply chain management company. Problem The client aimed to optimise its inventory distribution strategy to reduce costs while ensuring timely deliveries. Despite having demand forecasting in place, the client’s system could not react to real-time demand fluctuations. Achieving this objective required effective management […]

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Case study: optimising inventory and distribution strategy

Client

An EU logistics and supply chain management company.

Problem

The client aimed to optimise its inventory distribution strategy to reduce costs while ensuring timely deliveries. Despite having demand forecasting in place, the client’s system could not react to real-time demand fluctuations.

Achieving this objective required effective management of complex logistics and strategic stock balancing across multiple warehouses. Some of the warehouses were cold, and part of the stock had shelf life restrictions that had to be taken into account to minimise spoilage.

The first hurdle was that vast amounts of data needed to be piped to a central silo and develop an efficient model capable of addressing the dynamic nature of the supply chain variables. Additionally, the data was dispersed across multiple sources and software systems.  

Because the problem involved fast moving goods with limited shelf lives, the client’s data team believed that using nonlinear mathematics to describe the demand forecast would be much more precise, but the resulting optimisation problem seemed impossible to solve.

How we helped

We constructed a data pipeline to aggregate information from various sources into a centralised database, enabling real-time data integration into the mathematical models. This allowed us to develop a comprehensive optimisation model that incorporated constraints and parameters such as shipping costs, warehouse capacities and types, nonlinear demand forecasts, and service levels. Our solution employed advanced optimisation algorithms and real-time adjustments to continuously refine the distribution strategy based on current data.

Testing revealed that using nonlinear mathematics to describe the demand forecast was indeed much more precise, and as the client expected, unsolvable within the necessary timeframe. We trained Octeract Neural, our AI algorithmic generation framework, on the client’s data and within 3 weeks the system discovered a custom algorithm that could solve that specific problem very well. This custom solution was then tested and deployed on the client’s backend infrastructure.

Impact

The solution significantly improved supply chain efficiency, reduced shipping costs, and optimised warehouse utilisation. The system became capable of reacting to real-time demand fluctuations, allowing dynamic inventory adjustments that ensured timely deliveries, enhanced customer satisfaction, and reduced spoilage. This led to substantial cost savings and improved operational performance. A side benefit was that the ability to leverage nonlinear demand forecasting enabled better predictions over the long term.

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How we broke world records in just 4 years https://www.octeract.com/origin-story-from-zero-to-breaking-world-records-in-4-years/ Thu, 20 Jun 2024 13:11:00 +0000 https://mtcloud.co.in/octeract/?p=4936 How we broke world records in just 4 years. Our journey began in 2008 when Nikos, our co-founder and CEO, started developing optimisation solvers for supersonic aircraft, and fell in love with solver design. In 2012, he had the opportunity to work at Imperial College London on designing one of the most challenging types of […]

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How we broke world records in just 4 years.

Our journey began in 2008 when Nikos, our co-founder and CEO, started developing optimisation solvers for supersonic aircraft, and fell in love with solver design. In 2012, he had the opportunity to work at Imperial College London on designing one of the most challenging types of solvers: a deterministic global optimisation solver for MINLP problems. Gabriel, our co-founder and CTO, was also doing his PhD at the same office, which is how our founders met and became friends.

Completing his PhD in 2016, Nikos’ research introduced innovative approaches to nonlinear solver design, including massively distributed calculations, internal automation of translating mathematics to code, and evolving solver design from the monolithic C/Fortran languages to more flexible C++ architectures without compromising performance.

In 2017, Nikos and Gabriel joined the Entrepreneur First incubator programme in London, leading to the inception of Octeract.

Our initial vision was ambitious: to create the best MINLP solver possible with the technology available at the time. Despite limited funding, recruitment challenges, and immense technical obstacles, we were determined to realise our vision.

Early on, we set several technological goals:

  • Enable distribution of calculations across a network of machines.
  • Automate low-level technical implementation at high performance to minimise bugs and maximise prototyping speed. The system had to be such that any algorithm conceivable would be implementable using very high level instructions, and the end result had to be comparably fast to writing a dedicated low level implementation.
  • Design a modular core to facilitate custom extension without altering the core software.
  • Support all types of mathematics.

Additionally, we aimed to meet commercial optimisation solvers’ user expectations:

  • Ensure stability across a wide range of input problems.
  • Maintain numerical robustness.
  • Avoid “stupid” bottlenecks, such as poorly scaling algorithms that make a solver get stuck.Implement exceptional heuristics.

        Crucially, the solver also needed to find good solutions quickly for users to adopt it.

        After a year of development, we released the first beta version in August 2019. That version was unbelievably bad. We had compiled a test suite of about 1,600 problems, and three months before release, the solver was crashing on about 1,100 of them. Over two weeks where we fixed 100 crashes/day, our first release only crashed on 20/1,600 problems.

        Although not embarrassingly unstable, that first release was unbelievably slow. In fact, it was bad in every sense that mattered to users:

        • It crashed
        • It had very bad numerics
        • It got stuck on about 500/1,600 problems
        • It failed to find any solution at all for 400/1,600 of those problems

              Despite these issues, for us that release was a small technological miracle, because it embodied our core design principles:

              • It had a scalable implementation of parallel branch-and-bound, which allowed its poorly implemented algorithms to be distributed across small networks of machines
              • It was powered by the Octeract Reformulator, a purpose-specific compiler we built for a language that we designed specifically to write optimisation solvers. This technology allowed us to abstract away a lot of the low-level implementation into a compiler that effectively generated solvers from text.
              • The code was reasonably well encapsulated in C++ classes which was a functional proof of concept for our novel modular design.
              • The solver supported all types of mathematical functions, even some exotic ones that no other solver supports to this day. With the occasional crash of course.

                    All this technology was built in 14 months, starting from an empty text file. As a solver, it was abysmally bad. But it proved that our design worked.

                    It was around that time that our solver started appearing in the Hans Mittelmann benchmarks. First for the QPLIB quadratic problems, and eventually for MINLP problems.

                    For this case study we sourced the old results from the available datapoints on the Web Archive, and collated it into the chart below. We also took the liberty of pulling the 2021 number from our internal records since we weren’t on that benchmark yet at the time, just to illustrate how bad our performance was in 2021. That’s on different machines etc, but you get the idea.

                    References can be found here:

                    Unless you already know how to interpret benchmark results this won’t mean much to you, but stay with us, we’ll keep this very high level.

                    The first thing you need to know is that these are benchmarks on problems everyone has known for a very long time. Therefore, the challenge is simple: given 87 problems, what can you make your solver do?

                    Technological nuances aside, this chart tells us that the problems in this set are diverse and challenging enough that some of the best teams in the world, who have been in this space for much longer than us, have not yet been able to solve all of them.

                    Let’s now take this year by year.

                    2017

                    We began coding in summer 2018, so the first data point reflects the state of the art before our efforts.

                    2021

                    By 2021, we had stabilised the internal design and improved solver stability to enterprise standards. The plugin system worked, parallel scaling was effective, but core algorithms were lacking. We had only 6-7 heuristics and many bottlenecks and bugs, resulting in poor performance.

                    2022

                    Between 2021-2022, our work focused on making the core high-performance. All the low-level automation had to be reworked to be scalable for massive amounts of data. We also added more heuristics into the mix, taking us up to 18 heuristics. This work was enough to land us first place for the very first time in summer 2022.

                    This success validated our vision and demonstrated our team’s world-class capabilities. We then decided to see how just far this design could push technological boundaries.

                    With the core system finally in place and (mostly) working at high performance, between September 2022 and December 2022 we rapidly created hundreds of new algorithms, both for R&D and clients. This was reflected in our solver breaking the 80 problem barrier around December 2022, a result no-one had been able to achieve before.

                    The last few problems proved quite resistant to existing methods, so we decided to push the boundaries one step further: we started using our core for automated algorithmic generation. 

                    2023

                    In 2023, armed with an AI that could generate and test algorithms autonomously, we could now make our clients very happy. As a by-product of our AI-based improvements, the last few problems melted away within a few weeks. In April 2023, this benchmark was solved to 100% for the very first time. Despite great benchmark results and how good that looked, our work on real problems told a different story. The really hard problems people come to us to solve would still not be solvable off-the-shelf. Meeting our clients’ requirements had always required human effort, and even our innovative use of AI did not change that. What did change was that we could now build much better solutions faster. It was at this point that we decided to focus on bespoke AI-based technology rather than conventional off-the-shelf solver solutions.

                    2024 and beyond

                    At the time of writing, no one else has been able to solve this benchmark, reflecting the uniqueness and benefits of our approach. Our AI system is now called Octeract Neural, and is forever being autonomously expanded with new heuristics and algorithms. The main benefit of this was that we could now rest assured that technological improvements were now in the hands of someone much more capable than ourselves – an AI.

                    After 5 years of unrelenting technical work, we suddenly had free time. When you’ve been working 12+ hour days for years to achieve a goal, it’s hard to describe how wrong it feels once that goal is done and you now have time to do something else. But there we were, and we just weren’t sure how to use it. 

                    In the meantime, requests kept coming in that went beyond solver work. We used to turn down most such requests before, but we now had a lot of free time in our hands, and people could really use our help to tackle meaningful real-world issues. Thus, we decided to take on many more requests than before and help businesses much more directly by building autonomous end-to-end solutions.

                    At that point, we also realised that it no longer made sense to be part of any benchmarks. 

                    The first reason was that we do not consider it exactly fair to have human developers compete against an AI. Neural has long solved all known benchmark problems since they’re part of its training set, but what this means exactly remains an open question. What we do know is that humans find it unfair and frustrating to compete against an unbeatable opponent, much like in chess.

                    The second reason was that as we shifted our focus to AI-powered bespoke autonomous solutions and consulting, we came to view conventional benchmarks as an arena better suited for off-the-shelf solutions. What we offer is very different, so there are no benchmarks that can quite capture the capabilities and nuances of what we can do – any attempt to do so would simply misrepresent the technology and raise fairness complaints. We are pleased to see ongoing human efforts to improve because there is always value in that, and we wish the other teams well, but, as we look into the future, this chapter for us is now closed.

                    This concludes the story of how our innovative, world-record breaking Engine came to be, and hopefully provides some insight into the value we add and why. Our software core is merely an enabling tool. The true value is produced by the systems it enables our experts to build on top of it, tailored to our clients’ specific needs.

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