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General description

Prediction with Back-Propagation and Linear Regression

Objective

Prediction of the power of the turbine of a hydro-electrical plant, using the following algorithms:

  • Back-Propagation (BP), implemented by the student
  • Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), using free software

Data

  • File: turbine.txt
  • Columns: 4 variables, 1 value t - predict
    • Variables:
      • Height above sea level
      • Fall
      • Net fall
      • Flux
    • Prediction:
      • Power of the turbine
  • Patterns: 451 patterns
    • Training and Validation (and cross-validation): the first 401 patterns
    • Test: the remaining 50 patterns

Parameters

  • Try different values of the training parameters and select those with the best results:
    • Architecture of the neural network
    • Type of scaling of the data
    • Initial range of weights and thresholds
    • Learning rate and Momentum
    • Batched/online
    • Number of training epochs

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Prediction with Back-Propagation and Linear Regression

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