This project evaluates the causal impact of Limited Traffic Zones (ZTL) introduced in 2015 on air quality in major Italian cities (Milan, Turin, Florence, etc.).
The analysis uses a Difference-in-Differences econometric approach to isolate the effect of the policy:
- Treatment Group: Cities that implemented ZTL in 2015.
- Control Group: Cities with similar characteristics but no ZTL in that period.
- Fixed Effects: Inclusion of City and Year fixed effects to control for time-invariant characteristics and common shocks.
- Parallel Trends: Validated through an Event-Study design (see
scripts/02_did_model.py). - Robustness: Includes "Leave-one-out" analysis and "Placebo tests" to confirm the validity of the results.
- Install dependencies:
pip install -r requirements.txt - Run the main model:
python scripts/02_did_model.py