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Report: https://rubenahrens.com/docs/convlstm.pdf

CrimePredictionChicago

A machine learning model to predict criminal activity in the city Chicago.

Data:

Chicago crime data

Light intensity map

Street lights

Alley lights

Weather data

Shapefile

Police Station Locations

Crime severity

Poverty Indicators

Roadmap:

  • Recreate the model for crime prediction in Chicago
  • Add and preprocess only a subset (most important) data
    • create mask to delete predictions outside of Chicago.
    • Use the last 10 years (2011-2021)
  • Evaluate the model: MSE & RMSE
    • Baseline historical average
    • LSTM
  • Add more data that might improve accuracy
    • street and alley lights
    • demographic data
    • weather
      • convert to (ndays,55,50) sized array
    • severity of crimes
      • column of severity to be used as weight for the average

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Using a heterogeneous conv-LSTM to predict criminal activity in the city Chicago

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