Develop a predictive model correlating climate and economic factors to the emergence of civil unrests (protests).

We are currently using these documents as references:

• Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach
• Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought

We used these datasets as data sources:

• Protest data: from this compilation by Harvard Dataverse
• Agriculture outputs, economic factors: ourworld in data
• Rainfall data: CRU TS datasets
• Ethnic fractionalization index: EUI Research Repository